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In prior posts and in my blogs, I have repeatedly warned of the inevitable crises and economic and political turmoil resulting from impending mass migrations of populations displaced by war, revolution, climate, political or economic disruption. It is already being felt in many parts of the world today.

According to Michael Wertz and Laura Conley:

“The United Nations’ recent Human Development Report stated that, worldwide, there are already an estimated 700 million internal migrants—those leaving their homes within their own countries—a number that includes people whose migration is related to climate change and environmental factors. Overall migration across national borders is already at approximately 214 million people worldwide, with estimates of up to 20 million displaced in 2008 alone because of a rising sea level, desertification, and flooding.
One expert, Oli Brown of the International Institute for Sustainable Development, predicts a tenfold increase in the current number of internally displaced persons and international refugees by 2050.”
The US is not immune. Historically once migration begins, resistance, no mater how violent has rarely, if ever, proven effective for long. The only options are, either accept it and do the best one can to assimilate the migrants into the host culture with minimal turmoil or to affirmatively relieve the causes for the migration in an effort to slow or stop it. Jingoistic and nationalist policies only causes the receiving culture greater short-term and long-term damage. The greatest disruption is from the creation of an increasingly isolated and resentful minority population that reacts by refusing to assimilate while by the sheer force of its numbers demands a share of political and economic control over the host society.

___________________

Today's Quote:

"As with most fundamental freedoms, preventing those who wish to abridge the fundamental rights of others is a more important role of government than encouraging the exercise of those rights. Exercising our rights are our individual jobs, protecting us from those who would abridge are rights is the duty we collectively give to government. If government is not the guarantor of Freedom then it is a tyranny."
Trenz Pruca
See Also:

This and that...
Papa Joes Tales and Fables.
Pookie for President.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Yep, When I Saw "Coming" I Thought Immediately (3+ / 0-)

    of the some 2 million Iraqis we displaced by our invasion.

    I've described the behavior of ownership, worldwide, as more consistent in my mind with survivalism than mere greed. I'm sure they saw this issue coming generations ago as resources and population would inevitably lead to bottlenecks.

    It's something I've seen referenced in planning by the US military.

    We are called to speak for the weak, for the voiceless, for victims of our nation and for those it calls enemy.... --ML King "Beyond Vietnam"

    by Gooserock on Wed Mar 14, 2012 at 09:43:47 AM PDT

    •  Goose (0+ / 0-)

      Thank you for the comment. I agree it is not really news. It has been going on since humans began to spread out all over the world. The difference in the past few generations has been that we have not simply driven migrants out to live in penury in other lands, but have driven them onto to lands we rightly or wrongly call our own, while those most responsible for that outcome respond with shock and repugnance at those they have caused to move and try to drive them back.

      There is a practical reason why some progressives have argued that it is necessary for the more fortunate to assist those not so lucky.

  •  Economic globalization requires it (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Gooserock

    If the other factors of production (capital, raw materials, goods and services) can move unobstructed on a global basis, it becomes an absolute necessity for labor to be able to be equally mobile.  it won't be pleasant.  Today's economic migrants are just the harbinger of a global way of life of economic semi-nomadism that will have to dominate the world by mid-century barring a fundamental reorganization of the global economic system.

    The law, in its majestic equality, forbids rich and poor alike from sleeping under bridges. ~ Anatole France

    by ActivistGuy on Wed Mar 14, 2012 at 09:46:18 AM PDT

    •  Actually Nomadism Will Probably Mostly Be (0+ / 0-)

      limited to middle income types. The economy will probably simply write off the bottom half, between automation and globalized production, and there won't likely be a very good deal for several billion whether they go or stay.

      We are called to speak for the weak, for the voiceless, for victims of our nation and for those it calls enemy.... --ML King "Beyond Vietnam"

      by Gooserock on Wed Mar 14, 2012 at 09:49:08 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Activist (0+ / 0-)

      Thank you for your insightful comment. Unfortunately, a significant portion of current migrants are being driven off of their lands because the land itself has become wasted through climate change and resource depletion leading to political turmoil. We cannot lay waste to large portions of our globe and hope it will be relieved simply by the free transit of labor.

  •  Just wait until people start leaving (0+ / 0-)

    the USA in droves.

    •  Marblex (0+ / 0-)

      Thank you for your comment. Unfortunately, North America will remain a net importer of migrants for the forseeable future. It has the land, cliamate and resources. Political turmoil and attempts at repression will fail as the new comers increase at a greater rate that the "nativists." The only issue in my mind is what cost to freedom will accompany this change.

      As for an American exodus, I doubt it. Where will they go?

  •  You think the migration of the estimated (0+ / 0-)

    2.5 million Iraqis is significant?

    What about when the Himalayan glaciers finally fully retreat - and take with them the potable and irrigation water for over a billion people on the India sub-continent. Even as the melting polar caps raise worldwide ocean levels and submerge the Indian delta region, bordering the Indian ocean?

    I don't think the world is prepared for the migrations that are coming over the next five to eight decades, as Global Climate Change changes the face of the Earth, making it less and less hospitable to human beings.
     

    * * *
    I like paying taxes...with them, I buy Civilization
    * * *
    "A Better World is Possible" - #Occupy

    by Angie in WA State on Wed Mar 14, 2012 at 11:29:04 AM PDT

  •  Actually, migration has been frequently resisted.. (0+ / 0-)

    ...successfully.  Japan is one of the most prominent examples.  Aliyah Bet was also largely successful, until political events conspired to make it a moot point.

    •  MGross (0+ / 0-)

      Thank you for your comment. Unfortunately is has more often been resisted by political turmoil and oppression as in the US today. Japan's experience is more than likely an anomaly.

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